博弈环境下无人艇意图与轨迹协同预测方法

Joint Intention and Trajectory Prediction for USVs in Game Environments

  • 摘要: 【目的】针对高动态、强对抗环境下入侵艇行为具有时变性与不确定性的挑战,提出了一种基于深度学习的意图识别与轨迹预测一体化方法。【方法】将博弈场景建模为动态交互图序列,包含防御艇、入侵艇、障碍物及被保护区域等多类实体,并定义对抗、协同、突防与规避四类交互边。采用时空图卷积网络捕捉短时策略交互特征,引入双向长短期记忆网络建模行为时序演化。设计意图引导的双分支解码器,实现意图识别与轨迹预测的协同输出与联合优化。利用仿真数据与港池原理样机数据进行训练验证。【结果】仿真实验表明,所提方法意图识别准确率为94.9%,优于基线算法的90.3%;在10步预测时域内,平均位移误差占行驶距离比例(RADE)为18.7%。原理样机实验中,意图识别准确率为88%,RADE为21.6%,算法相较于基线的性能优势保持稳定。【结论】所提方法能够有效利用博弈交互信息,提升复杂对抗环境中的态势感知能力,为协同决策提供支撑。

     

    Abstract: Objectives To address the challenge of time-varying and uncertain intrusion behavior in highly dynamic and strongly adversarial environments, this paper proposes a method for joint intention and trajectory prediction based on deep learning. Methods The adversarial scenario is modeled as a dynamic interaction graph sequence comprising multiple entities such as defending vessels, intruding vessels, obstacles, and protected areas, with four types of interaction edges defined: confrontation, cooperation, penetration, and evasion. A spatio-temporal graph convolutional network is employed to capture short-term strategic interaction features, while a bidirectional long short-term memory network is introduced to model the temporal evolution of behaviors. An intention-guided dual-branch decoder is designed to achieve collaborative output and joint optimization of intention recognition and trajectory prediction. Training and validation are conducted using both simulated data and harbor prototype vessel data. Results Simulation results show that the proposed method achieves an intention recognition accuracy of 94.9%, outperforming the baseline algorithm (90.3%). Over a 10-step prediction horizon, the ratio of average displacement error to travel distance (RADE) is 18.7%. In the harbor prototype vessel experiment, the intention recognition accuracy reaches 88%, with an RADE of 21.6%, and the performance advantage over the baseline remains stable.Conclusions The proposed method effectively leverages adversarial interaction information, enhances situational awareness in complex adversarial environments, and provides support for collaborative decision-making.

     

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