基于自适应模型预测的船舶燃料电池混合动力系统实时能量管理

Adaptive model prediction based real-time energy management for marine fuel cell hybrid power systems

  • 摘要:目的】针对船舶混合动力系统在复杂变载工况下电池参数时变引起的模型失配问题,以及由此导致的控制精度下降与能效降低现象,提出一种基于线性变参数(LPV)模型的自适应模型预测控制(AMPC)能量管理策略。【方法】首先基于锂电池二阶RC等效电路模型,其次分析模型参数随荷电状态(SOC)的变化规律,构建综合考虑氢耗、电池损耗及电流变化率的多目标优化函数,并采用熵权法确定各性能指标权重;最后将非线性约束优化问题转化为二次规划(QP)求解,并在典型船舶工况下与多种策略进行对比实验。【结果】仿真结果表明,与线性时不变模型预测控制(LTI-MPC)及基于规则的策略相比,所提策略能有效克服模型失配问题。在全工况周期内,该策略使燃料电池电流变化率控制在25.80 A/s,较规则策略降低了34.5%,系统总能耗降低了24.1%。【结论】该策略在保证实时性的前提下,实现了船舶混合动力系统经济性与耐久性的协同优化。

     

    Abstract: Objectives To address the model mismatch problem caused by time-varying battery parameters under complex variable load conditions in ship hybrid power systems, which consequently degrades control accuracy and energy efficiency, an adaptive model predictive control (AMPC) energy management strategy based on a linear parameter-varying (LPV) model is proposed. Methods First, based on a second-order RC equivalent circuit model of the lithium-ion battery, the variation characteristics of model parameters with the state of charge (SOC) are analyzed to construct an LPV prediction model capable of capturing the real-time dynamic characteristics of the system. A multi-objective optimization function is formulated to simultaneously consider hydrogen consumption, battery energy loss, and fuel cell current smoothness. The entropy weight method is adopted to determine weighting coefficients. The nonlinear constrained optimization problem is then transformed into a quadratic programming (QP) problem for online solution. Comparative simulations are conducted under typical ship operating conditions. Results Simulation results show that, compared with the linear time-invariant model predictive control (LTI-MPC) and rule-based strategies, the proposed strategy mitigates model mismatch effects. Over the entire operating cycle, the fuel cell current change rate is limited to 25.80 A/s, representing a 34.5% reduction compared with the rule-based strategy, while the total system energy consumption is reduced by 24.1%. Conclusions The proposed strategy achieves coordinated optimization of economic performance and durability for ship hybrid power systems while maintaining computational real-time feasibility.

     

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