智能网联汽车发展态势及对船舶智能化的启示

Development trends of intelligent connected vehicles and their implications for intelligent ships

  • 摘要: 当前,汽车产业正经历百年未有之深刻变革,智能化与网联化的协同演进不仅是技术形态的迭代,更是关乎国家产业竞争力、交通系统重构与社会运行效率的战略议题。以系统工程方法为主线,系统梳理智能网联汽车(ICV)在电子电气架构、研发范式、安全体系等六个维度的深刻变革,并从信息物理系统(CPS)理论视角深入阐释“车路云一体化”的技术内涵与架构逻辑。研究与实践双重表明:沿单车智能路线的线性延伸,在物理感知极限、算力成本效益与安全长尾效应等方面存在难以逾越的系统性瓶颈;数据驱动与网联协同的深度融合,是突破上述瓶颈的必由之路,也是下一代智能驾驶的核心演进方向。在此基础上,提出云控、地图、终端、计算、安全五类基础平台的建设路径,为产业规模化应用与开放生态构建提供系统性参考框架。汽车与船舶同属典型的智能移动平台,上述技术演进规律与系统架构思路,或可为船舶智能化领域的研究与工程实践提供一定的参考与借鉴。

     

    Abstract: The global automotive industry is undergoing a once-in-a-century transformation, in which the convergence of intelligence and connectivity represents not merely a technological evolution but a strategic imperative with far-reaching implications for national industrial competitiveness, transportation system restructuring, and overall societal efficiency. Drawing on systems engineering principles, this paper systematically examines six dimensions of transformative change in intelligent connected vehicles (ICVs), including electronic/electrical architectures, development paradigms, and safety assurance frameworks. It further provides an in-depth analysis of the Vehicle-Road-Cloud Integration architecture from the perspective of cyber-physical systems (CPS) theory. Evidence from both academic research and industrial practice demonstrates that the linear extension of vehicle-centric intelligence faces fundamental systemic constraints, including limitations in physical perception, diminishing returns on computing investment, and persistent challenges posed by long-tail safety scenarios. The deep integration of data-driven intelligence with networked collaboration has emerged not only as a critical pathway for overcoming these constraints, but also as the fundamental direction for the next generation of intelligent driving technologies. Building on this analysis, the paper proposes a systematic framework comprising five foundational platforms—cloud control, high-definition mapping, on-board terminals, computing infrastructure, and cybersecurity. Together, these platforms provide the technological foundation for large-scale industrial deployment and the development of open ecosystem. Given that both automobiles and ships can be regarded representative intelligent mobile platforms, the technological evolution patterns and system architecture insights discussed in this paper may offer useful reference for research and practical implementation in the field of ship intelligence.

     

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