二代完整稳性直接稳性评估方法的研究现状与展望

State-of-the-art and prospects of direct stability assessment methods for second-generation intact stability criteria

  • 摘要: 船舶波浪中完整稳性是航行安全的核心保障,《第二代完整稳性衡准(SGISC)》的直接稳性评估方法尚未完善,是当前研究热点。旨在系统综述国内外二代完整稳性直接评估的研究进展与关键问题。在方法上,重点梳理参数横摇、纯稳性丧失、骑浪/横甩、过度加速度、瘫船稳性五种失效模式的数值预报技术(含势流、黏流、黏−势耦合及智能方法),并深入分析三类解决稳性失效稀有性问题的统计外推法(极值理论、临界波群与波集、环境条件外推)。结果表明:势流与黏流方法在多数失效模式预报中已取得显著成果,智能方法与黏−势耦合方法展现应用潜力,但仍存在智能方法依赖高质量数据、纯稳性丧失与骑浪/横甩的多自由度耦合模拟精度不足、桨舵出水模型待完善、全黏流计算成本过高等关键问题。总之,未来方法的研究应加强试验数据验证、优化黏流与外推方法结合、探究外推方法适用性、开展更多样船的计算及规范智能方法数据库等研究方向,为第二代完整稳性衡准直接稳性评估技术的工程化应用提供参考。

     

    Abstract: Intact stability of ships in waves is a core guarantee for navigation safety. The direct stability assessment method of the Second Generation Intact Stability Criteria (SGISC) remains immature, becoming a current research focus. This study aims to systematically review the research progress and key issues of direct stability assessment for SGISC worldwide. Methodologically, it focuses on summarizing the numerical prediction technologies (including potential flow methods, viscous flow methods, hybrid viscous-potential flow algorithms, and intelligent computational methods) for five stability failure modes: parametric rolling, pure loss of stability, surf-riding/broaching, excessive acceleration, and dead ship stability. Additionally, three categories of statistical extrapolation methods addressing the rarity of stability failures are analyzed in depth, namely extreme value theory approaches, critical wave groups and wave episode methods, and environmental condition extrapolation methods. The results show that potential flow and viscous flow methods have achieved remarkable results in predicting most failure modes, while intelligent methods and hybrid viscous-potential flow algorithms demonstrate application potential. However, several key issues remain unresolved, such as the high dependence of intelligent methods on high-quality data, insufficient simulation accuracy of multi-degree-of-freedom coupling for pure loss of stability and surf-riding/broaching, the need for improved propeller-rudder emergence models, and excessive computational cost of full viscous flow simulations. In conclusion, future research directions are proposed, including strengthening experimental data validation, optimizing the combination of viscous flow methods with extrapolation techniques, exploring the applicability of different extrapolation methods for various failure modes, conducting more sample ship calculations, and standardizing databases for intelligent methods. This study provides a reference for the engineering application of direct stability assessment technology in SGISC.

     

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