基于LSTM预测与云重心评判的舰船柴油机健康状态评估

Health status assessment of ship diesel engine method based on LSTM prediction and cloud barycenter model

  • 摘要:
    目的 面向舰船智能机舱的发展需求,提出一种基于长短时记忆(long short-term memory, LSTM)神经网络预测与云重心评判的舰船柴油机健康状态评估方法,以提升舰船柴油机运维能力。
    方法 该方法首先基于LSTM预测参数与实测参数的偏差,构建评估指标参数集。然后,采用层次分析法确定各参数的权重,并使用云重心评判法对柴油机的健康状态进行评估。最后,采用实际舰船柴油机前期正常数据和后期退化数据进行测试。
    结果 测试结果表明,柴油机在前期正常运行状态下的评价值为99.94,对应健康状态,而在后期退化状态下的评价值为81.71,对应良好状态。这表明该方法能够有效实现柴油机健康状态的评估。
    结论 所提方法可用于舰船柴油机和其他动力设备健康状态评估,具有实际应用价值。

     

    Abstract:
    Objectives In response to the development needs of smart engine rooms on ships, this paper proposes an assessment method for the health status of ship diesel engines based on long short-term memory (LSTM) neural network prediction and cloud gravity center evaluation, aiming to enhance the operational and maintenance capabilities of ship diesel engines.
    Methods First, the method constructs an evaluation indicator parameter set based on the deviation between LSTM predicted parameters and measured parameters. Then, it uses the analytic hierarchy process to construct parameter weights and employs the cloud gravity center evaluation method to assess the health status of the diesel engine. Finally, tests are conducted using actual ship diesel engine data from the early normal period and the later degradation period.
    Results The results indicate that the evaluation value of the early normal running state of the diesel engine is 99.94 (healthy), and the evaluation value of the later degradation state is 81.71 (good), achieving the goal of assessing the health status of the diesel engine.
    Conclusions The proposed method can be used for the health status assessment of ship diesel engines and other power equipment, and it has practical application value.

     

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